Mean Season Hurricanes are an environmental disaster. People in hurricane-prone regions most want to know: when and where the next hurricane will make landfall and just how powerful the storms will be when they do hit. For the most accurate warning possible, people rely on the meteorologists. Still a few tenacious problems remain, like that forecasters cannot always predict weather nor how much a hurricane will intensify before it hits land. Thats a problem for people in the path of a storm who need to know if its enough just to nail plywood across the windows, or if they should leave town altogether. The need for better hurricane forecasting will become more urgent now as well as in the future to come. It will not take more than a handful of major hurricanes striking land on the crowded and densely developed U.S. East Coast to cause damage in the tens of billions of dollars. Forecasters rely on trends in the global climate that coincide with the ups and downs of Atlantic hurricane activity. One predictor,” the warming of the equatorial Pacific, disrupts weather across much of the globe. Shifts in air circulation disrupt the vertical circulation in Tropical storms, which prevent them from growing into hurricanes. Scientists are sure that Atlantic hurricanes assemble over Africa. The collision of hot, dry air over the Sahara Desert, including warm, moist air from the equatorial jungle will give birth. The collision will cause disturbances in the atmosphere called Hurricane Seedlings.” Each season there is about 60 seedlings blown west into the Tropical Atlantic by the trade winds. At first, Seedlings are nothing more than clusters of thunderstorms, but in an average year, nine will evolve into named tropical storms and about six become hurricanes. On their way across the ocean, seedlings feed on the heat in warm surface water. Pressure in the center of a disturbance falls…
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